Spring Loading… 💮

With the rail out 9m at Caulfield, let's dive into some intriguing Barrier vs. Historical Run Style data.

First up, the most successful combination is horses that start from wide barriers (8+) and settle forward in the race. These horses outperform the market by 18% when the rail is positioned this far out.

Similarly, horses that settle in midfield from wide gates also show strong performance, outperforming the market by 16%.

On the flip side, the worst combination at Caulfield is when horses settle at the back from an inside barrier, leading to a market underperformance of 26%.

Additionally, there are four jockey records worth noting at Caulfield.

Ethan Brown and Linda Meech have a strong affinity for this track, each outperforming the market by 21% over a substantial number of races.

Jaylah Kennedy, though with a smaller sample size, outperforms the market at Caulfield by 22%, closely reflecting her impressive overall career performance, which is 18% above the market average.

On the other hand, Thomas Stockdale, despite being a successful jockey overall, struggles at Caulfield, underperforming the market by 30%.

Meanwhile, over at Rosehill, the top-performing jockeys against the market are JMac (19%), Nash (16%), and Tyler Schiller (17%). This is particularly notable given the significant betting interest they usually attract.

Now, let's get into some PA rating picks for Saturday.

🏇 CAULFIELD 17/08

R1 2. A Little Deep
R2 7. Rise At Dawn
R3 4. Cap De Joie
R4 13. Mansiere 💰
R5 7. Let'sfacethemusic
R6 5. Kuroyanagi 🔒
R7 9. Caste
R8 4. Buffalo River 💰

🏇 ROSEHILL 17/08

R1 3. Getafix 💰
R4 1. Way To The Stars 🔒
R6 2. Gatsby's
R7 6. Terra Mater
R8 11. Chorlton Lane

BEST 🔒
VALUE 💰

Best of luck with your bets this weekend!

Tyler from Punting Access